August 18, 2019
In last week’s Market Outlook, I posed the question, “Did stocks just put in a significant bottom?” Last week’s market action put that thought to the test. The IWM and DIA made new swing lows, but the SPY and QQQ didn’t even come close. And the leading sector, semiconductors, (SMH) didn’t flinch. As a result, the question remains unanswered. Additionally, the condition of the marketRead More.....
These 11 basic sector ETFs will keep you in the primary market trends if you follow the leaders on a 6-month basis. Use the Phases and 3-month % Change for more active trading.
Chart Last Updated: August 22 2019
Category: Risk On/Off
This table tracks key performance and indicator data for the major U.S. sector ETFs. In addition to seeing the daily price change, highs, lows, and volume, we also display the market phase and longer-term price performance. This can be used to identify key performance stats for any individual instrument or to access how they are performing overall as a group.
What to look for:
How To Use The 6-Month Percent Change:
In the basic tabular format the 6-month momentum is a good gauge of whether you should have a bullish or bearish bias as stocks with positive momentum often tend to continue in the direction of their primary trend.
The aggregation of the number of sectors in this table with positive 6-month percentage changes has also demonstrated to be a powerful market timing indicator.
The basic interpretation of this chart is:
Bullish if the SPY is over the 200-day or 40-week average (blue) AND there are 3 or more sector ETFs with a positive 6-mo. Change or...
Bearish if the SPY is under the 200-day or 40-week average (blue) AND there are less than 3 sector ETFs with a positive 6-mo. change.