October 27, 2020
By Mish Schneider
Written By Mish and Forrest
Today the market was indecisive.
The four major indices closed with an inside day pattern.
An inside day is a two day price pattern where the high and low from the second day doesn’t extend past the price range of the first day.
You can see this on all the charts above.
Inside days are digestive lower volatility days where the market consolidates before its next move.
The market has a lot to digest at the moment with the pandemic, social unrest, stimulus, and the next presidential election.
Once the presidential election is decided we hope it brings more clarity to which sectors get a boost even higher and which ones fail.
Currently we’ve seen growth in most sectors with solar and clean energy leading the charge.
Solar sector (TAN ETF) is up 136% in the past 6 months while clean energy (PBW) is up 110%.
It should also be noted that the clean energy ETF PBW holds multiple solar stocks.
Other worthy sector mentions are the homebuilders (XHB 44%), transportation (IYT 36%) , and the retail sector (XRT 44%).
On the other side of the list we have Energy (XLE -19%), Oil and Gas exploration (XOP -12%), and Natural Resources (IGE -4%)
All the percentages I’ve given above are based on a 6 month change.
It can be tough to make sound investments without knowing who will be in charge, and with today's sideways price action the market seems to reflect that same idea.
Plus, any contested election or gridlock (Senate blue under Trump or Senate red under Biden) will bring a host of other issues.
Sometimes the best thing to do in this situation is wait until clarity and a definitive trend.
Russell 2000 (IWM) Inside day. 155 best underlying support at the 50-DMA
Dow (DIA) Inside day.
Nasdaq (QQQ) Inside day. Sitting on 50-DMA possible support
KRE (Regional Banks) Sitting on 200-DMA.
SMH (Semiconductors) 176 support he 50-DMA
IYT (Transportation) 200 support where the 50-DMA is
IBB (Biotechnology) Flirting with the 50-DMA. Showing consolidation in $135 area.
XRT (Retail) 52 support making this too a sector to buy if market holds
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