Mish’s Outlook 2026 is Here!

December 28, 2025

Mish's Daily

By Mish Schneider


I hope you all had a wonderful holiday! 

I have been busy finishing my Outlook for 2026. 

But before you dive in, allow me to turn your attention to Page 3.  

On Page 3, we announce that our Economic Modern Family Animated Series has officially launched!!!  

On Page 3, you’ll find the links to follow. 

PLEASE, go to our YouTube Channel, watch the content we have shared to date (with plenty more to come). 

👉 Watch. Like. Share. Subscribe.
The Economic Modern Family is about to step off the page and onto your screen! 

Additionally, here are 10 bullets capturing the most important concepts from my Fire Horse 2026 Outlook: 

1️ Yang Fire Horse = Confidence, volatility, bold growth, and rapid market rotation 

2️ Bullish bias Jan–July 2026, then choppier but still constructive into 2027 

3️ Top beneficiary sectors: Shipping, Transportation/Logistics, Telecom/Comms, Media & Entertainment, Banking/Precious Metals 

4️ Likely laggards: Agriculture, non-precious mining, traditional construction, Earth-heavy industries, and relative underperformance in Healthcare 

5️ 2025 review confirmed our framework: EM, metals, semis, AI led, while crypto led until October; Bitcoin, retail, transports, regional banks lagged 

6️ 2026 Market Personality: Risk assets more active, speculative leadership, Asia strengthens, metals keep rising, defensives lag unless Fed eases aggressively 

7️ Modern Family Positioning 2026: Leaders = SMH / IBB / Crypto; Improving = IWM; Mixed = IYT; Struggling = XRT, KRE 

8️ Playbook: Watch the Jan–July 6-month calendar range, rotate toward Fire sectors, use Family members as macro health diagnostics 

9️ Meta Megatrend Theme: Infrastructure for a New World — investing in energy grid, AI build-out, supply chains, security, health, and productivity 

🔟 Cross-cutting innovation drivers: AI everywhere, tokenization & decentralization, energy resilience, biotech/longevity, robotics automation and space 

Here are the links to the Outlook 2026 and to the Economic Modern Family YouTube Channel  

We wish you a very Healthy and Happy New Year! 

 

For more detailed trading information about our blended models, tools, and trader education courses, contact Rob Quinn, our Chief Strategy Consultant, to learn more. 

 

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Mish in the Media-Want to see more? All clips here  

CNBC Squawk Box Asia A Volatile Year Ahead 02-23-25  

Yahoo Finance Part 2 Top Sectors to Watch in 2026 12-22-25  

Yahoo Finance Part 1 Why is Bitcoin a Coiled Spring? 12-22-25 

 

Coming Up:  

January 5 Maggie Lake 

 

ETF Summary  

(Pivotal means short-term bullish above that level and bearish below)  

S&P 500 (SPY) 682 now support 

Russell 2000 (IWM) 245 the 50-DMA support, 255 to clear 

Dow (DIA) 483 support 

Nasdaq (QQQ) 615 key support    

Regional banks (KRE) 65 support 

Semiconductors (SMH) 355 support, 370 to clear 

Transportation (IYT) Has to clear back over 76 and hold 73  

Biotechnology (IBB) 170 support 

Retail (XRT) If December ends over 88-that is really good  

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) 85k key support if this has a chance to get back over 92k 

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Michele 'Mish' Schneider

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